Risk Assessment and Optimization of Road Tunnels

نویسنده

  • Milan Holický
چکیده

Probabilistic methods of risk optimization are applied to specify the most effective arrangements of road tunnels. The total consequences of alternative arrangements are assessed using Bayesian networks supplemented by decision and utility nodes. It appears that the optimization may provide valuable information for a rational decision concerning number of escape routes. Discount rate seems to affect the total consequences and the optimum arrangements of the tunnels more significantly than number of escape routes.

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تاریخ انتشار 2008